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UFC 100 – Preview & Predictions

Tomorrow night is the big ‘un – UFC 100. Two championship fights, a stacked main card, and the possibility of a Buffer 360. Truly, it’s an epic night that has fight fans such as myself shaking with anticipation.

For those who won’t be able to catch the live telecast, Cage Potato‘s got your back and will be live-blogging the event.

So let’s get down to the nitty gritty, shall we?

Lesnar vs. Mir. Regardless of the outcome, Brock Lesnar will still have a comically small head.

Lesnar vs. Mir. Regardless of the outcome, Brock Lesnar will still have a disproportionately small head.

Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir – for UFC Heavyweight Championship
It’s hard to believe it’s almost been two years since the UFC Heavyweight Championship has stood alone without an “Interim” in its place or floating around as its counterpart. While there are those still crying foul about Lesnar getting a title shot in the first place, the guy did beat Randy Couture. The last time these two met in Lesnar’s UFC debut, things didn’t go so well and an inexperienced Lesnar literally stepped right into an anklelock. Mir deserves all the credit in the world for bringing his career back from the dead and steadily getting back to the level he was at before the motorcycle accident that prematurely ended his first title reign, if not surpassing it. But Lesnar’s a beast and a quick learner, and you won’t get him with the same trick twice.
PREDICTION:
Lesnar, TKO R2

Georges St. Pierre vs. Thiago Alves – for UFC Welterweight Championship
Alves is certainly going to give GSP some trouble. He walks around at 200 pounds and has looked dominant in his fights over the past year, in particular making Matt Hughes look like a prelim fighter. While GSP is on an entirely different plane from pretty much every other fighter in his (and most other) weight classes, a possibly inflamed elbow may limit his arsenal. Could we see a title change? I wouldn’t put money on it, but I also wouldn’t be shocked either.
PREDICTION:
St. Pierre, Unanimous Decision

Jon Fitch vs. Paulo Thiago (WW)
Fitch will always be remembered for the valiant effort he put up against Georges St. Pierre, but it’s clear that until he learns how to finish a fight the best he can hope for is the title of Best Fighter at 170 Not Named Georges.  He’ll have his hands full with the explosive Paulo Thiago, who comes into this fight undefeated and made short work of Josh Koshceck last February. Fitch is accustomed to employing a more methodical game plan, but fighting without a sense of urgency against as dangerous an opponent as Thiago could be his undoing. I think Fitch is a smart enough fighter to realize that, however, and will break the cycle.
PREDICTION: Fitch, Submission R2

Dan Henderson vs. Michael Bisping (MW)
The opposing coaches for the latest season of “The Ultimate Fighter” on Spike TV meet, and expect…wrestling. Thought I was going to say fireworks? Well, normally that’d be the case. However, Bisping has become shockingly committed to taking this fight to the ground and beating Hendo at his own game. Some say it’s a fool’s errand, but I think Bisping is crazy enough and Hendo’s game at this point is questionable enough that it just might work.
PREDICTION:
Bisping, Split Decision

Yoshihiro Akiyama vs. Alan Belcher (MW)
The two are on a fairly even keel on paper. Normally I pick against Japanese fighters – with the exception of Yushin Okami in an anemic Middleweight Division, they haven’t fared very well stateside or specifically in the UFC. However, I think Akiyama has enough tools in his chest to pull it off.
PREDICTION:
Akiyama, Submission R1

PRELIMINARY CARD

Mark Coleman: "Kids these days! Heck, in my day, we didn't even have rules! No, really, I'm not exaggerating. I'm that old."

Mark Coleman: "Kids these days! Heck, in my day, we didn't even have rules! No, really, I'm not exaggerating. I'm that old."

Mark Coleman vs. Stephan Bonnar (LHW)
It’s a LOSER LEAVES TOWN MATCH! Coleman can hardly be blamed for his performances over the last few years, since let’s face it, he did the whole courageous old man rising from the ashes bit with Pride FC nine years ago. Bonnar on the other hand was at one point seen as one of the torch-bearers for the next generation of fighters, and it’s sort of sad to see what he’s become. It’s rare that I’d tell a guy as young as him to retire. But if he can’t beat Coleman, then seriously, time to hang ’em up.
PREDICTION: Bonnar, Unanimous Decision

Mac Danzig vs. Jim Miller (LW)
Danzig’s fighting career is on the line here, and I hope he realizes it. It’s one thing to go on a losing streak and have to fight your way back into the promotion, but you definitely don’t want to be in the position of being a “The Ultimate Fighter” wash-out, particularly since the company likes to tout the show as a breeding ground for future champions.
PREDICTION:
Danzig, Submission R3

Jon Jones vs. Jake O’Brien (LHW)
This fight would be on the main televised card of any other UFC event and most likely would be the main event of any free showing on Spike. I fully expect this to be explosive, entertaining, and further proof that Jon Jones is for real.
PREDICTION: Jones, TKO R1

Dong Hyun Kim vs. T.J. Grant (WW)
Boy, they just don’t want to give up on Kim, do they? Listen, I know his last loss got overturned because Parisyan flunked his drug test, but Karo was messed up on painkillers and still beat him. I’m not sure how much of an advantage it gives a fighter to be pilled out of his mind.
PREDICTION: Grant, KO R2

CB Dollaway vs. Tom Lawlor (MW)
PREDICTION: Dollaway, Unanimous Decision

Matt Grice vs. Shannon Gugerty (LW)
PREDICTION:
Grice, KO R1

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